Romney closes gender gap and wins 18-40 year olds

Orlando – Consensus Communications recently fielded a statewide public opinion poll. Below are the methodology and the results.

Methodology

The statewide poll of 606 likely general election voters was taken using professional interviewers from September 8 to September 11, 2012. The voters were randomly chosen from samples of previous general election voters within predetermined election units. These units were structured to statistically correlate with actual voter turnout in statewide Florida general elections during a presidential election. This survey of 606 likely general election voters is accurate within +/-4% and had a 95% confidence interval.

Results

The results of the survey show that after both conventions the race is now a dead heat in Florida with President Obama receiving 42% and Mitt Romney receiving 42%.

Additionally the gender gap appears to have disappeared with Romney winning men 44%-40% and Obama winning women 44%-40%.

A surprising trend among the age groups also appeared with Romney winning 18-40 year olds 43%-36% and 41-60 year olds 43%-41%. Obama takes the lead among older voters winning 61 and older voters 49%-40%.

Florida’s enormous electoral votes make it the largest and most expensive swing state left in the Presidential campaign and clearly both campaigns will be spending millions over the next six weeks to persuade undecided voters.

“Now that the race is a literal dead heat, Florida voters will have to endure a torrent of political TV ads, while the television stations will be counting their Christmas bonuses early,” said Tre’ Evers , president of Consensus Communications.”

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